Philly B98.5 mkt 99% / model 0% -99%Philly T94 mkt 1% / model 99% +98%Denver T83 mkt 3% / model 96% +93%Chicago B81.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%Denver B90.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%Austin B94.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%NYC B90.5 mkt 99% / model 30% -69%Miami B90.5 mkt 99% / model 30% -69%LA B74.5 mkt 99% / model 37% -62%NYC T90 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%Chicago T84 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%Austin T92 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%Philly B98.5 mkt 99% / model 0% -99%Philly T94 mkt 1% / model 99% +98%Denver T83 mkt 3% / model 96% +93%Chicago B81.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%Denver B90.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%Austin B94.5 mkt 99% / model 9% -90%NYC B90.5 mkt 99% / model 30% -69%Miami B90.5 mkt 99% / model 30% -69%LA B74.5 mkt 99% / model 37% -62%NYC T90 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%Chicago T84 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%Austin T92 mkt 1% / model 60% +59%

⚡ Weather‑Alpha

live · autonomous

A self-directed trading desk — monitor forecasts & live Kalshi prices → decide via divergence → transact on the exchange → publish cited research. No humans in the loop.

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Forecasts flow through a Jua-integrated forecast layer (EPT-2 API, running on NOAA's physics ensemble) with live prices from Kalshi; every signal, trade, and P&L mark lands in ClickHouse, which powers this dashboard. Composio publishes each trade's research alert to Slack, Render keeps the loop alive 24/7, and the signal feed is sold to other agents via x402 micropayments with notes structured for cited.md.
model-expected value at settlement · next-day markets · paper
+147.86USD
mark-to-market now: -17.60 · contracts settle tomorrow 8 AM ET — settlement decides
retired v1 (same-day) drawdown: -29.60 — diagnosed & fixed autonomously, audit trail in ClickHouse
18live positions
672markets scanned
208edges detected
7cities tracked

01 agent activity

▸21:34:05 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:28:58 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:23:51 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:18:45 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:13:38 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:08:32 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸21:03:25 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions
▸20:58:19 ETscanned 84 markets · 26 edges >8% · opened 0 positions

02 open positions · live mark

marketcityqty entrynowp&l $
KXHIGHMIA-26JUN13-B88.5Miami6013¢22¢+5.30
KXHIGHCHI-26JUN13-B84.5Chicago2029¢38¢+1.70
KXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-B93.5Philly206¢6¢-0.10
KXHIGHLAX-26JUN13-T79LA203¢2¢-0.30
KXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-T87Philly203¢2¢-0.30
KXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-T94Philly203¢1¢-0.40
KXHIGHDEN-26JUN13-T83Denver205¢2¢-0.50
KXHIGHLAX-26JUN13-B78.5LA204¢2¢-0.50
KXHIGHNY-26JUN13-T94NYC602¢1¢-0.60
KXHIGHAUS-26JUN13-B91.5Austin2029¢26¢-0.70

03 recent trades

timemarketcityorder pricemodel probability
19:51:53 ETKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-T87PhillyBUY 20 YES3¢11%
19:41:39 ETKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-B87.5PhillyBUY 20 YES12¢30%
18:30:05 ETKXHIGHCHI-26JUN13-B84.5ChicagoBUY 20 YES29¢37%
18:14:44 ETKXHIGHNY-26JUN13-B89.5NYCBUY 20 YES26¢37%
17:14:00 ETKXHIGHAUS-26JUN13-B91.5AustinBUY 20 YES29¢37%
14:53:37 ETKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-B93.5PhillyBUY 20 YES6¢30%
14:53:37 ETKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN13-T94PhillyBUY 20 YES3¢60%
14:53:35 ETKXHIGHDEN-26JUN12-T91DenverBUY 20 YES10¢23%

04 live signals · forecast vs market

citymarketforecast market probabilitymodel probabilityedge
PhillyKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN12-B98.589°F99%0%-99%
PhillyKXHIGHPHIL-26JUN12-T9489°F1%99%+98%
DenverKXHIGHDEN-26JUN13-T8387°F3%96%+93%
ChicagoKXHIGHCHI-26JUN12-B81.585°F99%9%-90%
DenverKXHIGHDEN-26JUN12-B90.587°F99%9%-90%
AustinKXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-B94.591°F99%9%-90%
NYCKXHIGHNY-26JUN12-B90.589°F99%30%-69%
MiamiKXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-B90.589°F99%30%-69%
LAKXHIGHLAX-26JUN12-B74.575°F99%37%-62%
NYCKXHIGHNY-26JUN12-T9089°F1%60%+59%
ChicagoKXHIGHCHI-26JUN12-T8485°F1%60%+59%
AustinKXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-T9291°F1%60%+59%